QuarterfinalWomenOctober 12, 2026
Baldi / Aima v Lopez / Fassio
Pre-match odds
Baldi / Aima
10%
Avg Elo 1445
Lopez / Fassio
90%
Avg Elo 1637
Elo gap 192
Lopez / Fassio delivered as 90% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Baldi / AimaLopez / Fassio
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 60%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 60%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 58%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 8
40%
40%
39%
40%
42%
42%
0%
40%
6
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
45%
55%
39%
53%
60%
43%
0%
25%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 68%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 72%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 72%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 71%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 3
32%
28%
38%
28%
29%
40%
0%
100%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.