QuarterfinalWomenOctober 12, 2026
Cañellas / Martinez v Lobo / Arellano
Pre-match odds
Cañellas / Martinez
44%
Avg Elo 1520
Lobo / Arellano
56%
Avg Elo 1540
Elo gap 20
Lobo / Arellano delivered as 56% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Cañellas / MartinezLobo / Arellano
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 59%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 60%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 54%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 8
42%
41%
42%
40%
50%
42%
40%
43%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 54%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
42%
46%
36%
48%
33%
36%
33%
67%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 64%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 71%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 44%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 3
41%
36%
47%
29%
75%
46%
50%
25%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.