The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 12, 2026

Dominguez / Polo v Escacena / Aguilar

Court 3 (Get Fit)01:12

Pre-match odds

Dominguez / Polo

18%

Avg Elo 1504

Escacena / Aguilar

82%

Avg Elo 1639

Elo gap 135

Escacena / Aguilar delivered as 82% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dominguez / PoloEscacena / Aguilar

44%
Points won
56%
37%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
63%
36%
1st-serve points won
53%
40%
2nd-serve points won
17%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
64%
83%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
40%
Break points converted
70%
6
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
44%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
56%
42%
1st-serve points won
54%
67%
2nd-serve points won
25%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
33%
Break points converted
60%
6
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
27%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
73%
30%
1st-serve points won
52%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
70%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
80%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.