Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026
Goenaga / Collado v Diestro / Sintes
Pre-match odds
Goenaga / Collado
42%
Avg Elo 1632
Diestro / Sintes
58%
Avg Elo 1661
Elo gap 29
Diestro / Sintes delivered as 58% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Goenaga / ColladoDiestro / Sintes
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 78%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 10
43%
60%
25%
63%
33%
22%
38%
0%
4
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 76%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
43%
61%
24%
64%
33%
17%
60%
0%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
42%
59%
25%
62%
33%
28%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.