Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026
Montiel / Santigosa v Castaño / Hernandez
Pre-match odds
Montiel / Santigosa
66%
Avg Elo 1708
Castaño / Hernandez
34%
Avg Elo 1652
Elo gap 56
Castaño / Hernandez won as slight underdogs (34%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Montiel / SantigosaCastaño / Hernandez
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 11
48%
55%
38%
54%
67%
37%
44%
33%
5
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 5
47%
55%
37%
53%
75%
32%
60%
25%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 6
48%
55%
38%
55%
60%
40%
25%
40%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.