The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026

Zamora / Vilariño v Sanchez / Gutierrez

Court 1 (Allianz Cloud)01:52

Pre-match odds

Zamora / Vilariño

18%

Avg Elo 1635

Sanchez / Gutierrez

82%

Avg Elo 1765

Elo gap 131

Sanchez / Gutierrez delivered as 82% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Zamora / VilariñoSanchez / Gutierrez

43%
Points won
57%
53%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
47%
54%
1st-serve points won
69%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
29%
Break points converted
62%
5
Longest run of points
6
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

41%
Points won
59%
56%
Points won on serve
89%
11%
Points won on return
44%
61%
1st-serve points won
93%
38%
2nd-serve points won
67%
7%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
0%
Break points converted
40%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
54%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
46%
50%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 3

36%
Points won
64%
48%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
74%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.