Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026
Chozas / Rubini v Mouriño / Quilez
Pre-match odds
UpsetChozas / Rubini
75%
Avg Elo 1696
Mouriño / Quilez
25%
Avg Elo 1601
Elo gap 95
Mouriño / Quilez won with a 25% chance — about 1 in 4.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Chozas / RubiniMouriño / Quilez
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 49%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 31%
- Break points converted 88%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 15
48%
53%
42%
51%
69%
40%
60%
29%
6
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 17%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
53%
61%
46%
57%
83%
44%
60%
33%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
48%
54%
43%
53%
60%
41%
60%
25%
5
6
Set 3
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 60%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 3
39%
43%
32%
40%
60%
32%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.