Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026
Geens / Guichard v Fernandez / Del Castillo
Pre-match odds
Geens / Guichard
74%
Avg Elo 1674
Fernandez / Del Castillo
26%
Avg Elo 1581
Elo gap 93
Geens / Guichard delivered as 74% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Geens / GuichardFernandez / Del Castillo
- Points won 37%
- Points won on serve 44%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 44%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 14%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 7
63%
69%
56%
71%
33%
56%
60%
83%
7
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 36%
- Points won on serve 45%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 41%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 22%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 2
- Service games 3
64%
72%
55%
78%
0%
59%
33%
67%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
61%
66%
57%
64%
100%
54%
100%
100%
7
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.