The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026

Capra / Sanchez v Rodriguez / Abbate

Centre Court01:37

Pre-match odds

Capra / Sanchez

36%

Avg Elo 1598

Rodriguez / Abbate

64%

Avg Elo 1647

Elo gap 50

Capra / Sanchez won as slight underdogs (36%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Capra / SanchezRodriguez / Abbate

51%
Points won
49%
68%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
32%
67%
1st-serve points won
71%
80%
2nd-serve points won
75%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
20%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
64%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
36%
63%
1st-serve points won
78%
75%
2nd-serve points won
100%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
77%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
23%
76%
1st-serve points won
62%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
20%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.