The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026

Gala / Jensen v Graziotti / Iacovino

Centre Court01:00

Pre-match odds

Gala / Jensen

94%

Avg Elo 1713

Graziotti / Iacovino

6%

Avg Elo 1478

Elo gap 235

Gala / Jensen delivered as 94% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gala / JensenGraziotti / Iacovino

64%
Points won
36%
71%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
29%
71%
1st-serve points won
46%
75%
2nd-serve points won
33%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
57%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
80%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
20%
89%
1st-serve points won
52%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
11%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
66%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
34%
57%
1st-serve points won
30%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
70%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.