Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026
Roglan / Aragon v Gil / Valenzuela
Pre-match odds
Roglan / Aragon
41%
Avg Elo 1566
Gil / Valenzuela
59%
Avg Elo 1597
Elo gap 31
Gil / Valenzuela delivered as 59% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Roglan / AragonGil / Valenzuela
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 64%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 39%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 17
- Service games 15
46%
55%
37%
53%
61%
38%
36%
44%
6
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 51%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 51%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 6
46%
49%
44%
49%
50%
41%
57%
43%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 38%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
53%
68%
37%
69%
62%
40%
0%
50%
6
6
Set 3
- Points won 71%
- Points won on serve 81%
- Points won on return 63%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 73%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 17
- Service games 3
29%
37%
19%
27%
75%
20%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.