Round of 64MenOctober 12, 2026
Martinez / Hernandez v Deus / Deus
Pre-match odds
UpsetMartinez / Hernandez
81%
Avg Elo 1688
Deus / Deus
19%
Avg Elo 1563
Elo gap 125
Deus / Deus won with a 19% chance — about 1 in 5.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Martinez / HernandezDeus / Deus
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 85%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 46%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 16
48%
62%
35%
64%
54%
37%
15%
40%
6
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
49%
68%
34%
68%
67%
36%
20%
50%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 49%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
52%
59%
48%
59%
60%
51%
20%
38%
5
4
Set 3
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 87%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 85%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
40%
59%
13%
62%
40%
15%
0%
0%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.