The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 14, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Ayats / Sanchez

Centre Court00:57

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

99%

Avg Elo 2118

Ayats / Sanchez

1%

Avg Elo 1683

Elo gap 435

Tapia / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloAyats / Sanchez

55%
Points won
45%
68%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
20%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
68%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
61%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
69%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
31%
68%
1st-serve points won
70%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.