The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 14, 2026

Cabeza / Gonzalez v Arroyo / Jimenez

Court 1 (Allianz Cloud)01:50

Pre-match odds

Cabeza / Gonzalez

43%

Avg Elo 1653

Arroyo / Jimenez

57%

Avg Elo 1678

Elo gap 26

Arroyo / Jimenez delivered as 57% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cabeza / GonzalezArroyo / Jimenez

52%
Points won
48%
69%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
31%
71%
1st-serve points won
63%
50%
2nd-serve points won
70%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
30%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
20%
Break points converted
43%
7
Longest run of points
6
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
68%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
32%
78%
1st-serve points won
72%
20%
2nd-serve points won
80%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
73%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
27%
71%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
17%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Set 3

51%
Points won
49%
67%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
33%
66%
1st-serve points won
64%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
40%
7
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.