The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 13, 2026

Jofre / Esbri v Diestro / Sintes

Court 2 (Get Fit)01:11

Pre-match odds

Upset
Jofre / Esbri

69%

Avg Elo 1748

Diestro / Sintes

31%

Avg Elo 1679

Elo gap 69

Diestro / Sintes won with a 31% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Jofre / EsbriDiestro / Sintes

43%
Points won
57%
48%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
67%
25%
2nd-serve points won
25%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
40%
Break points converted
56%
5
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
47%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
53%
48%
1st-serve points won
70%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
75%
5
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
50%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
50%
52%
1st-serve points won
65%
33%
2nd-serve points won
33%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
33%
Break points converted
40%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.