Round of 32MenOctober 13, 2026
Cepero / Fdz Lancha v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Cepero / Fdz Lancha
4%
Avg Elo 1557
Guerrero / Leal
96%
Avg Elo 1828
Elo gap 271
Guerrero / Leal delivered as 96% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Cepero / Fdz LanchaGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
42%
55%
32%
55%
50%
33%
25%
12%
5
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
45%
55%
39%
53%
67%
40%
33%
17%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 81%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
37%
55%
19%
57%
0%
20%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.