Round of 32MenOctober 13, 2026
Castaño / Hernandez v Bautista / Bergamini
Pre-match odds
Castaño / Hernandez
39%
Avg Elo 1674
Bautista / Bergamini
61%
Avg Elo 1713
Elo gap 39
Bautista / Bergamini delivered as 61% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Castaño / HernandezBautista / Bergamini
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 83%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
47%
62%
31%
63%
50%
33%
17%
0%
4
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
46%
62%
32%
64%
0%
35%
0%
0%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
47%
61%
29%
62%
60%
29%
33%
0%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.