The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 14, 2026

Solano / Pereyra v Stupaczuk / Sanz

Centre Court01:12

Pre-match odds

Solano / Pereyra

6%

Avg Elo 1695

Stupaczuk / Sanz

94%

Avg Elo 1933

Elo gap 238

Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 94% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Solano / PereyraStupaczuk / Sanz

42%
Points won
58%
50%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
50%
49%
1st-serve points won
70%
56%
2nd-serve points won
44%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
50%
Break points converted
57%
6
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

41%
Points won
59%
48%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
75%
40%
2nd-serve points won
40%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
100%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
52%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
48%
47%
1st-serve points won
67%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.