The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 14, 2026

Lebron / Augsburger v Mouriño / Quilez

Centre Court01:21

Pre-match odds

Lebron / Augsburger

95%

Avg Elo 1882

Mouriño / Quilez

5%

Avg Elo 1633

Elo gap 250

Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 95% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lebron / AugsburgerMouriño / Quilez

58%
Points won
42%
76%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
24%
78%
1st-serve points won
56%
60%
2nd-serve points won
38%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
60%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
77%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
23%
81%
1st-serve points won
64%
50%
2nd-serve points won
40%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
6

Set 2

67%
Points won
33%
74%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
26%
72%
1st-serve points won
39%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.