Round of 32MenOctober 14, 2026
Geens / Guichard v Goñi / Alonso
Pre-match odds
Geens / Guichard
40%
Avg Elo 1688
Goñi / Alonso
60%
Avg Elo 1725
Elo gap 37
Goñi / Alonso delivered as 60% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Geens / GuichardGoñi / Alonso
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 10%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 12
46%
62%
27%
62%
80%
27%
29%
0%
5
12
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 79%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 11%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
44%
62%
21%
59%
80%
21%
25%
0%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
48%
63%
31%
63%
0%
30%
33%
0%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.