The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 13, 2026

Garrido / De Pascual v Capra / Sanchez

Court 1 (Allianz Cloud)01:05

Pre-match odds

Garrido / De Pascual

68%

Avg Elo 1685

Capra / Sanchez

32%

Avg Elo 1619

Elo gap 67

Garrido / De Pascual delivered as 68% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Garrido / De PascualCapra / Sanchez

62%
Points won
38%
71%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
29%
76%
1st-serve points won
43%
56%
2nd-serve points won
100%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
83%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
7
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
67%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
33%
65%
1st-serve points won
46%
75%
2nd-serve points won
100%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
75%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Set 2

69%
Points won
31%
76%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
24%
88%
1st-serve points won
36%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
64%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.