The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 13, 2026

Gala / Jensen v Navarro / Di Nenno

Centre Court01:16

Pre-match odds

Gala / Jensen

18%

Avg Elo 1716

Navarro / Di Nenno

82%

Avg Elo 1850

Elo gap 134

Navarro / Di Nenno delivered as 82% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gala / JensenNavarro / Di Nenno

46%
Points won
54%
59%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
41%
62%
1st-serve points won
68%
43%
2nd-serve points won
40%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
25%
Break points converted
80%
4
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
48%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
52%
54%
1st-serve points won
64%
20%
2nd-serve points won
0%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
50%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
78%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
22%
75%
1st-serve points won
71%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.