The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 13, 2026

Yanguas / Lijo v Ruiz / Gonzalez

Centre Court01:37

Pre-match odds

Yanguas / Lijo

81%

Avg Elo 1744

Ruiz / Gonzalez

19%

Avg Elo 1618

Elo gap 126

Yanguas / Lijo delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Yanguas / LijoRuiz / Gonzalez

57%
Points won
43%
79%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
21%
77%
1st-serve points won
58%
100%
2nd-serve points won
62%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
30%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
3
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
72%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
28%
69%
1st-serve points won
61%
100%
2nd-serve points won
71%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
14%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
6

Set 2

69%
Points won
31%
94%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
6%
94%
1st-serve points won
52%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
6%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.