Round of 32MenOctober 13, 2026
Garcia / Aguirre v Alfonso / Libaak
Pre-match odds
Garcia / Aguirre
18%
Avg Elo 1664
Alfonso / Libaak
82%
Avg Elo 1795
Elo gap 132
Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 82% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Garcia / AguirreAlfonso / Libaak
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 80%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 9
42%
53%
32%
53%
50%
32%
33%
50%
4
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
41%
43%
39%
44%
33%
38%
50%
100%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
43%
68%
27%
67%
100%
28%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.