Round of 32MenOctober 14, 2026
Tello / Arce v Gil / Valenzuela
Pre-match odds
UpsetTello / Arce
88%
Avg Elo 1792
Gil / Valenzuela
12%
Avg Elo 1615
Elo gap 177
Gil / Valenzuela won with a 12% chance — about 1 in 9.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tello / ArceGil / Valenzuela
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 14
51%
58%
44%
58%
50%
45%
40%
83%
7
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 32%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 29%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
65%
63%
68%
63%
0%
71%
0%
100%
7
4
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 54%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
43%
44%
42%
46%
25%
43%
33%
100%
4
5
Set 3
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
49%
65%
32%
63%
100%
29%
50%
50%
6
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.