The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 14, 2026

Deus / Deus v Galan / Chingotto

Centre Court00:55

Pre-match odds

Deus / Deus

66%

Avg Elo 1563

Galan / Chingotto

34%

Avg Elo 1999

Elo gap 436

Galan / Chingotto won as slight underdogs (34%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Deus / DeusGalan / Chingotto

37%
Points won
63%
47%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
53%
51%
1st-serve points won
78%
17%
2nd-serve points won
50%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
7
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
46%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
54%
50%
1st-serve points won
73%
25%
2nd-serve points won
33%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
4

Set 2

33%
Points won
67%
48%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
52%
52%
1st-serve points won
87%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
13%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.