The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Arroyo / Jimenez

Centre Court01:04

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

99%

Avg Elo 2118

Arroyo / Jimenez

1%

Avg Elo 1685

Elo gap 433

Tapia / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloArroyo / Jimenez

61%
Points won
39%
80%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
53%
100%
2nd-serve points won
30%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
70%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
36%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
84%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
16%
84%
1st-serve points won
52%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
29%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

61%
Points won
39%
76%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
24%
75%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.