Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026
Diestro / Sintes v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Diestro / Sintes
20%
Avg Elo 1711
Guerrero / Leal
80%
Avg Elo 1830
Elo gap 119
Guerrero / Leal delivered as 80% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Diestro / SintesGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 12
- Service games 10
42%
54%
32%
53%
60%
31%
40%
40%
6
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 5
42%
53%
36%
53%
0%
38%
25%
25%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 77%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 5
42%
55%
26%
54%
60%
23%
100%
100%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.