The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Bautista / Bergamini

Court 1 (Allianz Cloud)01:34

Pre-match odds

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

63%

Avg Elo 1775

Bautista / Bergamini

37%

Avg Elo 1730

Elo gap 45

Campagnolo / Gonzalez delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezBautista / Bergamini

50%
Points won
50%
60%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
40%
64%
1st-serve points won
64%
38%
2nd-serve points won
33%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
60%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
8
13
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
61%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
39%
70%
1st-serve points won
63%
38%
2nd-serve points won
0%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
67%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
4

Set 2

36%
Points won
64%
45%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
55%
47%
1st-serve points won
73%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
4

Set 3

59%
Points won
41%
69%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
31%
71%
1st-serve points won
57%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.