Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026
Ruiz / Garcia v Stupaczuk / Sanz
Pre-match odds
Ruiz / Garcia
5%
Avg Elo 1675
Stupaczuk / Sanz
95%
Avg Elo 1936
Elo gap 261
Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 95% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ruiz / GarciaStupaczuk / Sanz
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 77%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 83%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 71%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 12
- Service games 8
38%
50%
23%
53%
29%
24%
17%
0%
5
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 12
- Service games 4
37%
48%
27%
52%
25%
32%
0%
0%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 81%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 84%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
38%
52%
19%
54%
33%
16%
50%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.