The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026

Lebron / Augsburger v Goñi / Alonso

Centre Court01:06

Pre-match odds

Lebron / Augsburger

84%

Avg Elo 1884

Goñi / Alonso

16%

Avg Elo 1738

Elo gap 147

Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 84% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lebron / AugsburgerGoñi / Alonso

58%
Points won
42%
76%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
24%
74%
1st-serve points won
58%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
75%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
25%
73%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
77%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
23%
76%
1st-serve points won
52%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.