Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026
Garrido / De Pascual v Navarro / Di Nenno
Pre-match odds
Upset14%
Avg Elo 1702
86%
Avg Elo 1858
Elo gap 156
Garrido / De Pascual won with a 14% chance — about 1 in 7.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Garrido / De PascualNavarro / Di Nenno
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 45%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 40%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 48%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.