The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026

Yanguas / Lijo v Alfonso / Libaak

Court 1 (Allianz Cloud)01:43

Pre-match odds

Yanguas / Lijo

36%

Avg Elo 1752

Alfonso / Libaak

64%

Avg Elo 1802

Elo gap 50

Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 64% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Yanguas / LijoAlfonso / Libaak

41%
Points won
59%
52%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
48%
55%
1st-serve points won
71%
33%
2nd-serve points won
75%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
25%
Break points converted
27%
4
Longest run of points
11
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

26%
Points won
74%
36%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
64%
36%
1st-serve points won
79%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
64%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
11
3
Service games
4

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
57%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
43%
62%
1st-serve points won
68%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
25%
Break points converted
11%
4
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.