The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 15, 2026

Gil / Valenzuela v Galan / Chingotto

Centre Court00:59

Pre-match odds

Gil / Valenzuela

1%

Avg Elo 1615

Galan / Chingotto

99%

Avg Elo 1999

Elo gap 384

Galan / Chingotto delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gil / ValenzuelaGalan / Chingotto

36%
Points won
64%
45%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
55%
51%
1st-serve points won
74%
12%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
88%
0%
Break points converted
56%
4
Longest run of points
9
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

32%
Points won
68%
47%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
53%
50%
1st-serve points won
76%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
9
3
Service games
4

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
44%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
56%
52%
1st-serve points won
71%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
60%
2
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.