QuarterfinalMenOctober 16, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
96%
Avg Elo 2118
Guerrero / Leal
4%
Avg Elo 1839
Elo gap 280
Tapia / Coello delivered as 96% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 8
60%
73%
47%
74%
67%
46%
67%
57%
7
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
57%
69%
47%
70%
67%
48%
0%
67%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 37%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 22%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 20%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
63%
78%
48%
80%
67%
43%
100%
50%
7
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.