The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenOctober 16, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Stupaczuk / Sanz

Centre Court01:05

Pre-match odds

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

14%

Avg Elo 1781

Stupaczuk / Sanz

86%

Avg Elo 1938

Elo gap 157

Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 86% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezStupaczuk / Sanz

46%
Points won
54%
70%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
30%
70%
1st-serve points won
76%
75%
2nd-serve points won
67%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
29%
5
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
68%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
32%
67%
1st-serve points won
78%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
72%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
28%
73%
1st-serve points won
74%
67%
2nd-serve points won
67%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.