SemifinalMenOctober 17, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Stupaczuk / Sanz
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
88%
Avg Elo 2120
Stupaczuk / Sanz
12%
Avg Elo 1944
Elo gap 177
Tapia / Coello delivered as 88% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloStupaczuk / Sanz
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 9
55%
66%
45%
67%
50%
45%
44%
33%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
52%
61%
44%
63%
0%
48%
33%
29%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
58%
71%
46%
70%
100%
43%
57%
50%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.