FinalMenOctober 18, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Lebron / Augsburger
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
92%
Avg Elo 2125
Lebron / Augsburger
8%
Avg Elo 1917
Elo gap 208
Tapia / Coello delivered as 92% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloLebron / Augsburger
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 10%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 13
53%
66%
38%
68%
40%
39%
33%
38%
6
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
46%
59%
29%
60%
0%
24%
50%
0%
3
5
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 25%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 24%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
56%
75%
37%
76%
67%
40%
0%
25%
5
5
Set 3
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 48%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
59%
69%
50%
72%
0%
52%
0%
67%
6
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.