The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 13, 2026

Valenzuela / Godallier v Caldera / Canovas

Court 2 (Get Fit)01:08

Pre-match odds

Valenzuela / Godallier

28%

Avg Elo 1669

Caldera / Canovas

72%

Avg Elo 1749

Elo gap 80

Caldera / Canovas delivered as 72% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Valenzuela / GodallierCaldera / Canovas

36%
Points won
64%
42%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
58%
42%
1st-serve points won
73%
40%
2nd-serve points won
60%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
100%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
11
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

35%
Points won
65%
42%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
58%
43%
1st-serve points won
74%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
29%
4
Longest run of points
10
4
Service games
4

Set 2

37%
Points won
63%
41%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
59%
41%
1st-serve points won
72%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
59%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
11
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.