The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 13, 2026

Orsi / Llaguno v Talavan / Saiz

Centre Court02:09

Pre-match odds

Orsi / Llaguno

54%

Avg Elo 1702

Talavan / Saiz

46%

Avg Elo 1686

Elo gap 16

Orsi / Llaguno won a near coin flip (54%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Orsi / LlagunoTalavan / Saiz

54%
Points won
46%
60%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
40%
58%
1st-serve points won
53%
67%
2nd-serve points won
29%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
40%
Break points converted
36%
7
Longest run of points
4
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
57%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
53%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
20%
Break points converted
40%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
60%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
40%
57%
1st-serve points won
56%
80%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
40%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Set 3

58%
Points won
42%
62%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
38%
62%
1st-serve points won
50%
60%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
60%
Break points converted
25%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.