The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 13, 2026

Velasco / Eugenio v Alonso / Guinart

Court 1 (Allianz Cloud)02:23

Pre-match odds

Velasco / Eugenio

36%

Avg Elo 1709

Alonso / Guinart

64%

Avg Elo 1759

Elo gap 50

Velasco / Eugenio won as slight underdogs (36%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Velasco / EugenioAlonso / Guinart

51%
Points won
49%
59%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
41%
56%
1st-serve points won
60%
71%
2nd-serve points won
33%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
55%
Break points converted
56%
11
Longest run of points
13
16
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
56%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
44%
50%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
56%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
44%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
63%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
37%
57%
1st-serve points won
67%
86%
2nd-serve points won
0%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
50%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 3

53%
Points won
47%
57%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
43%
61%
1st-serve points won
58%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
60%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
13
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.