The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 13, 2026

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez v Marchetti / Arruabarrena

Pre-match odds

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

91%

Avg Elo 1764

Marchetti / Arruabarrena

9%

Avg Elo 1558

Elo gap 206

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez delivered as 91% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dal Pozzo / RodriguezMarchetti / Arruabarrena

66%
Points won
34%
81%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
19%
79%
1st-serve points won
46%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
5
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

76%
Points won
24%
86%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
14%
85%
1st-serve points won
25%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
75%
Points won returning 1st serve
15%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
77%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
23%
75%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.