Round of 32WomenOctober 14, 2026
Bidahorria / Riera v Castello / Rodriguez
Pre-match odds
39%
Avg Elo 1674
61%
Avg Elo 1713
Elo gap 39
Castello / Rodriguez delivered as 61% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Bidahorria / RieraCastello / Rodriguez
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 53%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 58%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.