The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 14, 2026

Borrero / Navarro v Lobo / Arellano

Court 2 (Get Fit)01:40

Pre-match odds

Borrero / Navarro

65%

Avg Elo 1615

Lobo / Arellano

35%

Avg Elo 1562

Elo gap 53

Borrero / Navarro delivered as 65% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Borrero / NavarroLobo / Arellano

57%
Points won
43%
67%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
33%
65%
1st-serve points won
52%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
40%
Break points converted
20%
6
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

63%
Points won
37%
64%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
36%
60%
1st-serve points won
39%
80%
2nd-serve points won
33%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
60%
Break points converted
20%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
69%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
31%
69%
1st-serve points won
63%
67%
2nd-serve points won
62%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
20%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.