Round of 32WomenOctober 14, 2026
Montes / Barrera v Ortega / Araujo
Pre-match odds
Montes / Barrera
14%
Avg Elo 1671
Ortega / Araujo
86%
Avg Elo 1830
Elo gap 159
Ortega / Araujo delivered as 86% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Montes / BarreraOrtega / Araujo
- Points won 65%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 64%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 64%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 7
35%
36%
34%
36%
40%
36%
20%
25%
4
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 74%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 68%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 68%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 3
26%
32%
20%
32%
0%
17%
33%
0%
2
3
Set 2
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 60%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 60%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
40%
40%
41%
40%
40%
43%
0%
25%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.