Round of 32WomenOctober 14, 2026
Jensen / Icardo v Lopez / Fassio
Pre-match odds
Jensen / Icardo
96%
Avg Elo 1912
Lopez / Fassio
4%
Avg Elo 1642
Elo gap 270
Jensen / Icardo delivered as 96% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Jensen / IcardoLopez / Fassio
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 9
57%
65%
49%
64%
75%
49%
50%
56%
10
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
56%
66%
44%
64%
75%
44%
0%
67%
10
5
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
58%
65%
53%
63%
75%
53%
50%
50%
6
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.