The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 14, 2026

Fassio / Virseda v Perez / Caparros

Court 1 (Allianz Cloud)02:34

Pre-match odds

Fassio / Virseda

85%

Avg Elo 1762

Perez / Caparros

15%

Avg Elo 1614

Elo gap 149

Fassio / Virseda delivered as 85% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Fassio / VirsedaPerez / Caparros

52%
Points won
48%
62%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
38%
61%
1st-serve points won
56%
67%
2nd-serve points won
56%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
44%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
45%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
63%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
37%
64%
1st-serve points won
55%
62%
2nd-serve points won
40%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
33%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
55%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
45%
54%
1st-serve points won
58%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 3

58%
Points won
42%
69%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
31%
68%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.