Round of 32WomenOctober 14, 2026
Manquillo / Sainz v Rufo / Iglesias
Pre-match odds
Manquillo / Sainz
29%
Avg Elo 1647
Rufo / Iglesias
71%
Avg Elo 1727
Elo gap 80
Rufo / Iglesias delivered as 71% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Manquillo / SainzRufo / Iglesias
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 64%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 55%
- Break points converted 46%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 13
49%
54%
44%
55%
45%
46%
36%
67%
7
13
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 62%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 67%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
40%
38%
43%
33%
67%
43%
50%
100%
6
3
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
58%
67%
48%
64%
100%
50%
40%
67%
7
5
Set 3
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 83%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
49%
55%
43%
63%
17%
45%
25%
50%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.