Round of 16WomenOctober 15, 2026
Brea / Triay v Caldera / Canovas
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
94%
Avg Elo 2009
Caldera / Canovas
6%
Avg Elo 1764
Elo gap 245
Brea / Triay delivered as 94% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayCaldera / Canovas
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 41%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 39%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 8
65%
72%
59%
74%
60%
61%
33%
75%
11
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 31%
- Points won on serve 36%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 33%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 21%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 2
- Service games 3
69%
76%
64%
79%
67%
67%
0%
60%
7
3
Set 2
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 44%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 43%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 5
61%
68%
56%
70%
50%
57%
50%
100%
11
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.