Round of 16WomenOctober 15, 2026
Orsi / Llaguno v Velasco / Eugenio
Pre-match odds
Orsi / Llaguno
49%
Avg Elo 1722
Velasco / Eugenio
51%
Avg Elo 1726
Elo gap 5
Velasco / Eugenio won a near coin flip (51%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Orsi / LlagunoVelasco / Eugenio
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 49%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 83%
- Break points converted 56%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 10
- Double faults 0
46%
51%
40%
55%
17%
42%
33%
22%
7
11
1
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
- Double faults 0
45%
47%
43%
52%
0%
46%
25%
25%
4
5
1
Set 2
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 64%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
46%
55%
38%
57%
33%
38%
36%
20%
7
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.